Look at this page Animation of INSAT Images
Put gap as 200ms, and number of images as 48.
This will show you an animation with half hourly images.
It will clearly show how the western disturbance is moving towards kashmir.
Cloud motion vectors indicate that himachal may be spared, but you never know. its only by tomorrow morning things will be more clear!
The western disturbance is turning out to be somewhat feeble.
Yes, JK may get quite a bit of rainfall, esp west JK which includes srinagar, but himachal may be spared.
Hanle webcame image taken few minutes before this post was made shows nice clear skies.
Hope it stays this way